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Full AccessLeading Weekly Publication in Beef and Sheep Export from Mercosur to the World. Prices, Trends, and Key Analysis for the Livestock and Meat Market
Last update 10/12/2026
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Likely reflecting both the reduced availability and higher cost of imported beef, wholesale beef prices in China have risen at a faster pace in recent weeks, reaching their highest levels since early 2024.
As expected, the decline in imported beef stocks held in cold storage in China accelerated from September. Brazil and Australia have already filled their quotas for this year, causing arrivals from both origins to contract sharply.
Beef export volumes have declined significantly since late July, partly due to weaker demand after China’s 2026 quota was filled and partly because of lower production.
The revised Mercosur steer price index exceeded US$ 5.00/kg carcass weight for the first time on record, driven mainly by the rapidly strengthening Brazilian market, where the consolidation of the herd rebuilding phase is reducing finished cattle supplies. Prices also increased in the other three countries in the region.
A Uruguayan exporter reported Russian enquiries to WBR at US$ 2,000/t FOB for liver, US$ 4,650/t FOB for tongue and US$ 2,100/t FOB for heart. These were bids received, with no confirmed transactions.
A regional operator reported sales of Uruguayan beef to Brazil concluded last week.
Chile’s beef market remains quiet, with Brazilian 19-20 cut sets trading at around US$ 7,400-7,500/t. A Paraguayan exporter confirmed retail-segment sales to WBR at US$ 8,500/t. The transaction provides a price indication above the levels reported by other operators for Paraguayan beef.
The US beef market showed signs of stabilizing over the past week following the price adjustments recorded since September.
Argentine market sources reported prices of US$ 6,200/t CFR for in-quota 90 VL, but virtually no business due to intense competition with Brazil in this segment. A trader currently in Florida described commercial activity in the state as subdued. “Activity is very weak. Tourism is down, consumption is down, fuel and interest rates are very high—no change,” he told WBR.
A large share of Mercosur exporters remains cautious ahead of the SIAL trade show in Paris, which begins next Saturday and runs through Wednesday. Face-to-face negotiations could provide new price indications for a market facing downward pressure on chilled beef.
The lack of commercial agreements is creating uncertainty over the start of the next production cycle for Israel. Some teams may travel without prices having been agreed, while Paraguayan exporters warn that another increase in cattle prices would squeeze processing margins.
China’s beef market is beginning to regain momentum following the holiday break, although orders remain within normal levels for now. A regional operator reported new transactions for several cuts, with no signs of a significant acceleration in demand.
Between January and September 2026, 21.0 million cattle were slaughtered at federally inspected plants (SIF), down 7.5% from a year earlier. SIF plants are authorized to export.
